---
title: How fertilizer fits into supply chain resilience
description: Discover how fertilizer interventions can enhance supply chain resilience while reducing emissions, ensuring food companies maintain reliable supply amid climate challenges.
image: https://proba.earth/hubfs/Blog%20featured%20image%20(35).png
---

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# How fertilizer fits into supply chain resilience

 13 Nov 2026

![Picture of Proba](https://proba.earth/hs-fs/hubfs/Subheading%20(7).png?width=40&name=Subheading%20(7).png) [Proba](https://proba.earth/probas-blog/author/proba)

![](https://proba.earth/hubfs/Blog%20featured%20image%20(35).png)

For food companies, resilience means a reliable supply chain. Climate change affects yields, costs and continuity, and puts a strain on reliability. Fertilizer sits in the middle of that picture. Cutting fertilizer emissions lowers the footprint of the whole supply chain. The way nutrients are supplied and applied determines how well crops hold up when the weather turns.

**Yields are under pressure**

Climate change is expected to cut global crop yields by about 8% by 2050, even if we introduce a lot of adaptation measures, and by 11 to 24% by 2100. Extreme weather events such as droughts and heatwaves already reduced national cereal production by about 9 to 10% on average. Heavy rain adds to the damage through waterlogging, erosion and delayed planting or harvest. These events are becoming more frequent and more intense.

**How it reaches every actor in the supply chain**

| **Stakeholder** | **What changes** |
| --- | --- |
| Farmers | They harvest less from the same land and inputs, or pay more for fertilizer without a higher yield. |
| Farmer cooperatives | They collect less volume from their members and have less certainty about what they can deliver downstream. |
| Traders and processors | They face tighter supply, larger price swings and harder sourcing. |
| Food companies | They pay more for key ingredients and risk shortages in volume or quality. |

**The same interventions can address emissions and be more resilient to climate change**

The [4Rs of nutrient stewardship](https://www.tfi.org/insights/nutrient-stewardship/what-are-the-4rs/) offer a practical framework: the right product, at the right rate, at the right time, in the right place. The aim is the same or a better harvest with fewer nutrients lost, which cuts emissions and protects the yield farmers have paid for. Enhanced efficiency fertilizers (EEFs), foliar fertilizers, precision fertilization and split application all put the 4Rs into practice.

In addition, fertilizers produced with renewable energy, or supplied from recovered and alternative sources such as organic materials, reduce dependence on fossil fuels and on a few mining countries.

| **Intervention** | **Lower emissions** | **More resilience** |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Nitrogen stabilizers (source) | Less N2O lost from the field | More nitrogen stays available to the crop after heavy rain |
| Controlled release fertilizers (source) | Nitrogen released closer to crop demand | Fewer losses in wet periods and a steadier nutrient supply |
| Variable rate application (in-field) | Less surplus nitrogen in the soil | Effective use of fertilizer in fields |
| Split application (in-field) | Less nitrogen exposed to loss at one time | Later applications can be adjusted to how the season develops |
| Fertilizer produced with renewable energy (production) | Lower production emissions | Using renewable energy, independent from finite resources |

**One dataset for lower emissions and a steadier supply.**

To plan a fertilizer intervention, invest in it or count it toward Scope 3 targets, companies need credible, certified figures. The same farm data that proves an emission reduction also shows how well crops and supply hold up under climate pressure. Proba’s methodologies and certification framework quantify fertilizer emission reductions by product and practice at farm level, in five steps.

1. **Map the baseline.** Based on current and past fertilizer practices, Proba shows where emissions and nutrient losses are concentrated, and which sourcing regions are most exposed to drought, heat or heavy rain.
2. **Select the right interventions.** Field trial data across many soils, climates and crops shows which products and practices cut emissions while keeping yields stable, including under the extreme weather a region can expect.
3. **Quantify the impact.** Fertilizer use, nutrient efficiency, yield and emissions per tonne of crop are calculated each season. Over time, this shows not only the emission reduction but also how yields hold up in difficult years, so farmers, cooperatives, traders and food companies each see what changed.
4. **Certify the results.** Emission reductions are independently verified, so food companies can report them in Scope 3 with confidence, while the underlying farm data gives sourcing teams a clearer view of their supply base.
5. **Scale up.** Start with one region and one season, prioritise sourcing regions where climate risk is highest, then extend across the supply chain.

Climate adaptation will stay at the heart of resilience planning, and fertilizer interventions belong in the same plans. They cut emissions, protect the harvest farmers have paid for and help keep volumes flowing to the companies that depend on them.

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